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Nasjonal transportplan

Predicting future behaviour in the transport sector

Planning of new roads and other transportation infrastructure has never been more difficult. New disruptive technologies create uncertainty about modes of transportation, adoption by the population and need for capacity in the infrastructure.

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Future trends

How will trends like an increased level of education, and increased average lifespan affect attitude and behaviour related to transportation? Will increased connectivity dampen the current trend towards urbanization and moving to larger cities?

The National Transport Plan (NTP) describes the overall objectives for the transport sector in a12‑year time frame and the prioritized national infrastructure projects for the first six years. Assumptions about future trends, public behaviour and technology adoption are important parts of the knowledge base for the plan.

In collaboration withTHEMA Consulting, Mindshift predicted how new technologies will influence public behaviour in the transport sector of the future. We focused on the technologies' connectivity, carbon emissions and autonomy, creating forecasts and scenarios on how they would play out in a medium long (2030) and long term (2050) for the different modes of transportation. In addition, we deep‑dived into adoption of zero emission cars in the private market towards 2025.

Mindshift and THEMAs contribution can be found in theNational Transportation Plan 2022‑2033.

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Sustainability sector

  • Direktoratet for Byggkvalitet

    Building a sector-wide digital ecosystem

    Building a sector-wide digital ecosystem

    Citizens struggle finding planning documentation relevant to their own property. When they do, they are difficult to interpret and do not provide straightforward answers to their questions – typically, can I build what I have in mind? Mindshift executed a pilot project on behalf of DiBk, in co‑operation with three local municipalities, in which heavily used planning documents were presented on the muncipalities’ websites. The presentations provided simplified texts and visuals that enabled citizens to get their questions answered quickly and reducing traffic to the call centres.

    Direktoratet for Byggkvalitet

  • Nasjonal transportplan

    Predicting future behaviour in the transport sector

    Predicting future behaviour in the transport sector

    Planning of new roads and other transportation infrastructure has never been more difficult. New disruptive technologies create uncertainty about modes of transportation, adoption by the population and need for capacity in the infrastructure.

    Read more

  • Philip Morris

    Nudging for sustainable behavior

    Nudging for sustainable behavior

    In 2014, smoking became illegal inside pubs, restaurants, nightclubs and most workplaces. Smokers were forced out on the streets, resulting in an increase in littering and negative environmemtal impact. How do you change littering behaviour and how can you prove the change is statistically valid?

    Philip Morris

Let's Talk!

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Anne Stokke

Anne Stokke

CEO

anne.stokke@mindshift.no

+4798238713

Andre Ruud

Andre Ruud

CTO

andre.ruud@mindshift.no

+4797569513

Bjørn Hallan

Bjørn Hallan

COO

bjorn.hallan@mindshift.no

+47 917 59 222

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Contact

Mindshift AS

Wergelandsveien 21 B

0167 Oslo

Norge

kontakt@mindshift.no

Telefon 982 38 713

Org. nr. 818 500 912 MVA

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